Here are the 2011 Oscar nominations

Want to be surprised by things? Go find a different award show, because these nominations are super predictable! But here they are, such as they are:

Best Picture
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter's Bone

Best Actor
Javier Bardem, Biutiful
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jessie Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King's Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours

Best Actress
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
John Hawkes, Winter's Bone
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffery Rush, The King's Speech

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
David O. Russell, The Fighter
Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
David Fincher, The Social Network
Joel Coen/Ethan Coen, True Grit

Best Screenplay — Adapted
Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Michael Arndt, Toy Story 3
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, True Grit
Debra Granik and Anne Roselini, Winter's Bone

Best Screenplay — Original
Mike Leigh, Another Year
Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson, The Fighter
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right
David Seidler, The King's Speech

Best Foreign Language Film
Biutiful
Dogtooth
In a Better World
Incendies
Outside the Law

Best Animated Feature
How to Train your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Best Documentary
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Gasland
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waste Land

Okay, then! 2011 looks like a solid year without much in the way of controversy or shock. (Which is always fun. Except when Crash wins. Fuck you, Crash.) I'm very happy that Jennifer Lawrence got a nod, as well as Jacki Weaver and Dogtooth, but since the buzz around all of them has been going for a good long time I don't think they're anything other than due. Speaking of, I only feel conflicted by Best Actress — I loved Lawrence's performance but Natalie Portman got ugly-crazy in Black Swan. I am a bit confused why there are only three nominations for Best Animated Feature, in a year of generally strong animated films. (Or so I and my very outspoken three-year-old goddaughter thought.) Oh well.

What do you think, readers?